Tell Congress: Ban Gambling on War and Government Action

Kalshi and Polymarket are treating war like a slot machine—and it’s already putting lives at risk.

As tensions rise between Israel and Iran, these online gambling platforms are taking millions in bets on whether military strikes will happen. Those bets threaten all of us, and the truth about our world. Just this month, an Israeli journalist disclosed that he received death threats demanding that he change his reporting about a missile strike so they could cash in.

Democratic lawmakers, including Senator Chris Murphy and Richard Blumenthal, are pushing legislation to ban betting on government actions, including war. But with Republicans in control of Congress, it won’t move unless the public demands it.

Tell Congress: “Ban gambling on war and government action. Pass legislation to stop prediction markets from profiting off of violence and manipulating our democracy—or shut them down.”

“Prediction markets” like Polymarket and Kalshi don’t just predict events—they create incentives to manipulate them. 

Imagine Trump officials sitting on information that could prevent a military strike—while secretly betting on escalation and cashing in. Imagine members of Congress placing bets, then shaping votes on a government shutdown or healthcare bill to influence the outcome and their own profits. That’s the real-life danger of allowing bets on government action and war.

We cannot allow people to profit from violence or manipulation of our democracy. We must put pressure on Congress to act before our institutions become casinos.

Sign now and tell Congress that our lives are not a betting market.

The petition to Congress reads: “Ban gambling on war and government action. Pass legislation to stop prediction markets from profiting off of violence and manipulating our democracy—or shut them down.”